I’m interested in developing the skill to estimate probabilities for real-world situations. What are the best ways to learn this systematically? Are there books, courses, or exercises that teach probabilistic thinking, Bayesian reasoning, or practical forecasting skills?
I want to check this math and see if the AI is gaslighting me.


The internet is way bigger than social media sites, FYI
I’ve no idea what what you’re trying to say with this
Sorry, neither do I: must have been either tired, or otherwise-stupider…
There are 2 probable intents:
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number-2 is the only 1 that makes sense to my instinct, but I’m sorry I totally-borked the idea-to-typing job.
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